Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 967.827605 1108.155130 1269.459557 1470.367445 1716.400027 2011.190947 2.396234e+03
2024-10-13 747.697621 917.456275 1132.389009 1430.854839 1845.276676 2417.675521 3.301408e+03
2024-10-20 633.289656 809.386907 1045.690656 1397.060294 1927.152239 2735.893488 4.151808e+03
2024-10-27 547.567597 720.835385 963.514056 1343.579273 1955.581920 2968.611406 4.946549e+03
2024-11-03 510.626825 692.169369 957.585136 1396.035036 2152.597783 3522.877630 6.561835e+03
2024-11-10 475.748740 660.708902 941.018429 1425.761514 2314.957601 4064.621224 8.459386e+03
2024-11-17 444.346934 630.012056 920.259377 1442.855963 2456.078881 4611.272992 1.073956e+04
2024-11-24 410.714788 591.866905 882.100087 1421.931652 2517.458532 5007.609303 1.292521e+04
2024-12-01 390.528127 572.728723 872.542031 1450.586822 2685.784094 5719.730938 1.679768e+04
2024-12-08 376.470683 561.906528 875.398032 1502.578646 2917.727118 6701.507095 2.295373e+04
2024-12-15 359.320412 544.149236 863.715314 1523.350341 3083.504530 7585.246034 3.020991e+04
2024-12-22 339.446408 519.958357 837.665759 1510.130978 3163.160049 8250.241058 3.772742e+04
2024-12-29 326.329832 507.320763 833.353188 1546.727262 3394.031795 9614.882459 5.436016e+04
2025-01-05 304.136780 477.021329 792.829783 1497.943710 3383.849585 10112.965216 6.640771e+04
2025-01-12 285.848615 452.271136 760.513854 1462.806587 3403.900499 10761.168120 8.369442e+04
2025-01-19 267.016286 425.200819 721.199478 1405.847195 3345.713948 11050.215695 9.898611e+04
2025-01-26 261.325053 421.800313 728.647253 1461.628571 3653.577838 13325.233270 1.706505e+05
2025-02-02 253.648866 414.054900 726.390639 1493.251118 3896.982465 15572.308533 2.934620e+05
2025-02-09 245.331775 404.454946 719.289374 1511.443469 4103.095799 17893.554178 5.230628e+05
2025-02-16 234.270324 388.828516 697.998166 1489.176150 4156.725077 19326.403558 8.261014e+05
2025-02-23 228.242414 382.580329 696.326412 1519.672259 4424.967710 22766.301674 2.057200e+06
2025-03-02 224.390756 380.320336 703.133244 1575.037380 4820.182002 28128.479053 1.017027e+07
2025-03-09 218.347389 373.258200 698.528388 1597.168535 5088.032562 33056.161867 1.150491e+08